Some bad news has come for pig farmers today with the statement from the pork industry. Quote:
"I am disappointed to advise that it was announced this morning that the NZPORK Appeal regarding PRRRS has been dismissed by the Court of Appeal. A copy of the decision is attached for your information. This is disappointing for the Industry."
This is going to have a devastating effect on pig farming in NZ BUT I think the hardest to be hit will be the smaller farmers, the family farms, the sustainable farms and people with rare breeds. IT now will allow cuts of pork in packs as low as 3 kg of FRESH UNTREATED pork from countries that have the PRRRS Disease. NZ is one of the few countries that are clear of it. At the moment over 50% of the pork in NZ is imported. All or most of the bacon in the supermarkets is made from imported pork. This is about globalisation not local or NZ. REMEMBER PRRRS IS LIKE PIG FOOT AND MOUTH in my eyes. PLEASE DON'T SWITCH OFF NOW as that's how these things win. PLEASE READ TO THE END..
Here are my predictions.
1. Tighter controls on what pigs can be fed, ie: no scraps in case the pigs eat contaminated pork.This will push the smaller farmers out.
2. The price of pork will drop or at least not follow inflation, remembering that most pig farmers are not making anything now, so it will push more to the wall.
3. Most smaller pig farmers will move out and there will be only very large corporate type pig farms, just as the dairy industry is going.
4. There will be a core group of small pig keen people, maybe organic, rarebreed, show pigs, left to farm for the love of it rather than money.This is like right now.
5. PRRRS will break out in NZ (and yes it must). It will get in to the wild pig population.
6. At this stage most of the small farmers just can't keep going as their pigs are also infected.
7. There will be more tagging and identification of pigs, movement control like in the USA. Wild pigs will come under government (DOC) culling even spreading to farmed pigs that look or come from feral stock like the Kunekune and Canterbury Blue, etc, that are the best breeds for organic, etc.
8. Those that are left can't work out how that happened.
9. Game over.